Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 32

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Carreras J. (Arg)


	Deportivo Riestra		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	6	Watch
	1.68	3.4	5
	1.66	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.51	5.93
	1.65	3.3	5.5
	1.71	3.44	5.35
	1.7	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	5.47 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
55.6%

Draw
27.3%

Aldosivi
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

27.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Riestra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Deportivo Riestra - Aldosivi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 2. Goitia J. 4. Iribarren N. 5. Dematei N. 3. Tovo E. 7. Antonini F. 6. Ramirez P. 8. Celiz M. 10. Acuna W. 11. Fernandez G. 9. Gonzalez Herrero R.	1. Ingolotti L. (G) 2. Callegari S. 6. Gonzalez A. 3. Escobar I. 4. Indacoechea J. 5. Bravo F. 8. Maciel E. 10. Olivares J. 7. Curuchet F. 9. Riano C. 11. Pereyra F.
Coaches
Marchesi W.	Coyette W.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aldosivi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Deportivo Riestra is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.09.23	Racing de Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Deportivo Riestra - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
05.09.23	Deportivo Riestra - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Mitre - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLT
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.09.23	Aldosivi - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Racing de Córdoba - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
05.09.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
25.08.23	Aldosivi - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
23.04.18	Deportivo Riestra - Aldosivi	1:0

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