Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 31

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)


	Aldosivi		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.36	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.4	4.43	9.21
	1.36	4	8.5
	1.4	4.4	8.3
	1.39	4.3	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)	4.33 ↑ (4.03)	8.44 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
67.4%

Draw
21.6%

Villa Dálmine
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

16%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aldosivi's performance.

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Dálmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-24.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldosivi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Dálmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Aldosivi - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Users Predictions: Aldosivi will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 4. Indacoechea J. 2. Callegari S. 6. Gonzalez A. 3. Escobar I. 8. Maciel E. 5. Bravo F. 10. Olivares J. 7. Curuchet F. 9. Riano C. 11. Pereyra F.	1. Salerno F. (G) 4. Cosciuc F. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Rosso F. 3. Pereyra A. 8. Perez R. 5. Arzura J. 11. Tello L. 7. Ramirez B. 9. Molina F. 10. Molina J.
Substitutes
. Bacre E. 18. Britez E. 12. Bruera L. (G) 16. Guerra Brian . Lucero R. . Morello M. 20. Panaro M. 19. Torres E. . Turraca G.	20. Barberini V. 19. Caramuto M. 16. Castaneda D. 17. Forlani S. 12. Kletnicki C. (G) 13. Meza F. 18. Nievas A. 14. Varela M. 15. Vitale D.
Coaches
Coyette W.	Benitez J.

Preview

Aldosivi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villa Dálmine has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aldosivi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aldosivi is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.09.23	Racing de Córdoba - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
05.09.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
25.08.23	Aldosivi - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Tristán Suárez - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLT
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.09.23	Deportivo Madryn - Villa Dálmine	4:0 ✺
09.09.23	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	1:4 ✺
02.09.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Quilmes - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Aldosivi	0:1
02.04.18	Aldosivi - Villa Dálmine	1:0

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