Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 30

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Deportivo Riestra		Atlanta Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4	Watch
	1.99	3.15	4.41
	1.95	2.9	4.2
	1.97	3.16	4.3
	1.98	3.15	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)	3.13 ↑ (3.03)	4.13 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
47.4%

Draw
29.9%

Atlanta Buenos Aires
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

26.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Riestra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta Buenos Aires could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Deportivo Riestra - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 2. Goitia J. 4. Iribarren N. 3. Tovo E. 5. Dematei N. 6. Ramirez P. 8. Celiz M. 7. Antonini F. 10. Acuna W. 11. Fernandez G. 9. Gonzalez Herrero R.	1. Sumavil N. (G) 7. Camargo F. 2. Aguirre A. 4. Gelos V. 6. Gonzalez F. 3. Pinto M. 8. Dramisino A. 5. Duarte K. 10. Galeano J. 11. Rios L. 9. Mazzola N.
Substitutes
12. Aguero F. (G) 13. Benitez G. 14. Benitez J. 18. Bravo G. 17. Landriel L. 20. Ortiz M. 19. Romero L. 15. Villoldo T. 16. Zaninovic M.	18. Becker D. 17. Bisanz F. 15. Bogado M. 12. Fernandez P. (G) 16. Krilanovich J. 13. Marin F. 19. Medina N. 14. Mosca N. 20. Pavia K.
Coaches
Marchesi W.	Diez N.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Deportivo Riestra will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.09.23	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
05.09.23	Deportivo Riestra - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Mitre - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
18.08.23	Deportivo Riestra - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTTL
- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.09.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Racing de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
05.09.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Tristán Suárez - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
06.08.23	Mitre - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.05.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
28.02.22	Deportivo Riestra - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0
31.08.21	Deportivo Riestra - Atlanta Buenos Aires	3:1
18.04.21	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	2:2
Argentinian Primera B
12.02.19	Deportivo Riestra - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1
04.09.18	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	0:1
29.05.17	Deportivo Riestra - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0

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