Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 28

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Acita F. (Arg)


	Deportivo Riestra		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.55	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.7
	3.29	2.7	2.71
	3.1	2.62	2.5
	3.24	2.67	2.67
	3.15	2.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.77)	2.73 ↓ (3.03)	2.61 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
30%

Draw
34.2%

Chacarita Juniors
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.7%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

30.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Deportivo Riestra - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Chacarita will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Riestra: 9.4% – 57.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 8. Goitia J. 2. Iribarren N. 3. Tovo E. 6. Ramirez P. 4. Dematei N. 5. Antonini F. 10. Celiz M. (C) 7. Acuna W. 9. Romero L. 11. Fernandez G.	1. Correa C. (G) 4. Gonzalez J. 6. Torres N. 2. Zanini A. 3. Quiroz F. 8. Cuello A. 5. Perdomo L. (C) 11. Pugliese G. 10. Blanco R. 7. Rodriguez Matias 9. Gimenez L.
Substitutes
12. Aguero F. (G) 13. Benitez G. 14. Benitez J. 20. Gonzalez Herrero R. 18. Landriel L. 15. Magallanes D. 19. Ortiz M. 17. Villoldo T. 16. Zaninovic M.	18. Astina M. 16. Beltramone E. 13. Cardozo I. 14. Fernandez T. 15. Gomez N. 12. Losas F. (G) 17. Pombo C. 20. Pulicastro F. 19. Rasic F.
Coaches
Marchesi W.	Biggeri A.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chacarita is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.08.23	Mitre - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
18.08.23	Deportivo Riestra - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Riestra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLWW
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.23	Chacarita Juniors - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Chacarita Juniors - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Chacarita Juniors - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Mitre - Chacarita Juniors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.04.23	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	4:2
24.09.22	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
04.09.21	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	0:0
26.04.21	Deportivo Riestra - Chacarita Juniors	4:0
15.10.19	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	1:1

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