Match Info

Date: 18 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)


	Deportivo Riestra		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.8	2.9
	2.65	2.75	2.85
	2.7	2.7	2.75
	2.65	2.75	2.8
	2.78	2.83	3.01
	2.5	2.75	3
	2.67	2.74	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.25)	2.76 ↓ (2.83)	2.89 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
34.4%

Draw
33.5%

Alvarado
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

33.5%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

35.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Riestra's form might have worsened.

Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvarado's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Riestra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvarado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Deportivo Riestra - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Alvarado will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 23 and 21).

Deportivo Riestra is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alvarado is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Riestra will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.06.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Riestra	2:0 ✺
06.06.22	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
30.05.22	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
23.05.22	Deportivo Riestra - Temperley	1:2 ✺
15.05.22	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTLT
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.06.22	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1 ✺
04.06.22	All Boys - Alvarado	3:1 ✺
29.05.22	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
22.05.22	San Telmo - Alvarado	0:1 ✺
15.05.22	Alvarado - Chaco For Ever	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.08.21	Alvarado - Deportivo Riestra	2:1
29.03.21	Deportivo Riestra - Alvarado	1:0

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