Match Info

Date: 30 May 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano (Moron)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Deportivo Morón		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.9	5.25	Watch
	1.93	2.8	4.75
	1.92	2.9	4.25
	1.89	2.85	4.6
	1.99	2.85	5.13
	1.91	2.7	4.8
	1.92	2.96	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.21)	2.85 ↑ (2.77)	4.75 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Morón
48.1%

Draw
32.4%

Deportivo Riestra
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

33.3%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

32%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Morón's performance.

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Riestra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26%	62%	12%

Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 13 - 26%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 6 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 31 - 62%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 27 and 23).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Morón won 1.

Recent matches Deportivo Morón is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Riestra is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportivo Morón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Morón is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Deportivo Morón won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Morón won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.05.22	Güemes - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
16.05.22	Deportivo Morón - All Boys	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
12.05.22	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.05.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Deportivo Morón - San Telmo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLLW
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.05.22	Deportivo Riestra - Temperley	1:2 ✺
15.05.22	Deportivo Flandria - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
07.05.22	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:4 ✺
30.04.22	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
25.04.22	Deportivo Riestra - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.01.21	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Riestra	0:1
22.09.17	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Riestra	1:3
Argentinian Primera B
30.06.17	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
20.12.16	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Morón	0:1
17.02.16	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Riestra	0:0
21.07.15	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Morón	1:1
11.03.15	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Riestra	4:2

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