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Current Win Probability
Tristán Suárez 46.1%
Draw 32.7%
Atlanta Buenos Aires 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
32.3%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
32.6%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristán Suárez's performance.
Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta Buenos Aires might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristán Suárez that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta Buenos Aires could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Tristán Suárez - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 17 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tristán Suárez: 100% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Tristán Suárez (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/E Goals, 2nd Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tristán Suárez (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Aguilar B. 2. Guzman M. 6. Baldi A. 3. Fernandez N. 7. Guillen M. 8. Del Priore N. 5. Enrique M. 10. Becker D. 9. Gallo A. 11. Ramirez S.
1. Rago F. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Moreira R. 6. Rojas T. 3. Arguello D. 5. Rivero B. 8. Castro Ponce T. 11. Rodriguez I. 7. Alvarez F. 10. Puch J. 9. Quintana A.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez M. 13. Aquino S. 20. Beron J. 18. Colli K. 12. Mendive J. (G) 15. Molina A. 17. Noriega L. 14. Olguin M. 16. Sanchez N.
18. Bernardi C. 17. Caceres F. 20. Castro F. 13. Galeano L. 12. Lopez Kaleniuk L. (G) 16. Mendoza G. 19. Morales A. 14. Ostachuk P. 15. Romero F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Ramirez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Quintana A. 🟨,
57', Enrique M. 🟨,
64', Ramirez S. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
69', Del Priore N. 🟨,
71', Rivero B. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
71', Puch J. ↓, Bernardi C. ↑,
79', Alvarez F. 🟨,
83', Quintana A. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
83', Rodriguez I. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
83', Gallo A. ↓, Colli K. ↑,
87', Alvarez F. ↓, Caceres F. ↑,
90', Becker D. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 4th in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Atlanta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Tristán Suárez is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Tristán Suárez has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:24 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tristán Suárez against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:8 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlanta Buenos Aires - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.67%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Bigo J. (G) 
Caceres F. 
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