Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Bejas N. (Arg)


	Deportivo Riestra		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.62	3.25	6
	1.62	3.4	5.75
	1.6	3.35	5.8
	1.61	3.52	6.81
	1.65	3.1	5.8
	1.61	3.35	5.75	Watch
	1.63	3.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.12)	3.36 ↑ (2.99)	6 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
57.1%

Draw
27.5%

Guillermo Brown
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29.8%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Riestra's performance.

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guillermo Brown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Riestra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guillermo Brown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.6%	17.1%	14.3%

Deportivo Riestra - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Riestra: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 23).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guillermo Brown is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Riestra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deportivo Riestra is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.09.22	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
19.09.22	Deportivo Riestra - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
05.09.22	Deportivo Riestra - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
31.08.22	Deportivo Riestra - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLTW
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.09.22	Guillermo Brown - Güemes	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	All Boys - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	4:1 ✺
28.08.22	Guillermo Brown - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.18	Deportivo Riestra - Guillermo Brown	2:2

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