Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.5
	1.98	2.9	4.2
	2	2.8	4.2
	1.98	2.85	4.1
	2.05	2.83	4.85
	1.95	2.7	4.6
	1.97	2.76	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)	2.83 ↓ (2.93)	4.42 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
46.5%

Draw
32.6%

Deportivo Riestra
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

31.5%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

32.2%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	66.7%	3.7%

Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 1.

Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Riestra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensores de Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Defensores de Belgrano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.09.22	Güemes - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
29.08.22	Defensores de Belgrano - All Boys	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
14.08.22	Defensores de Belgrano - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
07.08.22	Chaco For Ever - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTWTL
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.09.22	Deportivo Riestra - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
31.08.22	Deportivo Riestra - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Deportivo Riestra - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.12.20	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Riestra	1:0
11.11.19	Deportivo Riestra - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
Argentinian Primera B
05.05.17	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Riestra	0:2
22.10.16	Deportivo Riestra - Defensores de Belgrano	4:1
14.02.16	Deportivo Riestra - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
03.07.15	Deportivo Riestra - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1

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