Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 19

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	3.2
	2.35	2.95	3
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.54	2.81	3.39
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.52	2.78	3.32
	2.48	2.8	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.21)	2.87 ↓ (3.01)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
38.1%

Draw
32.5%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.3%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.6%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez R. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Fleita J. 6. Tecilla N. 3. Velazquez S. 8. Alvarez B. 5. Romero E. 10. Gonzalez A. 11. Fernandez M. 9. Pino M. 7. Rodriguez J.	1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Gutierrez A. 6. Olivarez S. 3. Bersano F. 8. Lopez S. 5. Villarruel L. 10. Castro R. 11. Antonio I. 7. Romano N. 9. Herrera W. A.
Substitutes
18. Assennato T. 20. Baez B. 16. Barrios E. 12. Garcia R. (G) 19. Rolle M. 17. Rosales E. 13. Salomoni J. 14. Valor M. 15. Werro V.	16. Acosta F. 15. Barboza O. 19. Herrera H. 12. Humeler K. (G) 18. Ortega P. 13. Padilla M. 20. Puch J. 14. Recalde M. 17. Seratto R.
Coaches
Esmerado G.	Sastre J.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gimnasia Mendoza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.05.23	Alvarado - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
15.05.23	San Martín de San Juan - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Guillermo Brown - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
22.04.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.05.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
20.05.23	Club Almagro - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.05.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - All Boys	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Telmo	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Temperley - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.09.22	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1
25.11.18	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Guillermo Brown	2:1
25.11.15	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Guillermo Brown	1:2 penalties
08.07.15	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Guillermo Brown	2:1
22.02.15	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1

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