Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, Disney+, ESPN, ESPN Premium
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes
Venezuela	Disney+


	Deportivo Riestra		Lanús

	1	X	2
	3	2.65	2.75	Watch
	3.10	2.70	2.60
	3.05	2.68	2.82	Watch
	3.17	2.72	2.93
	3.18	2.76	2.66	Watch
	3	2.55	2.8
	2.91	2.75	2.99	Watch
	3.05	2.65	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	2.68 ↓ (2.78)	2.78 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
30.9%

Draw
35.2%

Lanús
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

33.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

31.6%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Deportivo Riestra - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Deportivo Riestra (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (1.76) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 36. Bracamonte M. 5. Ramirez P. 22. Paz C. 2. Quintana C. 15. Sansotre N. 11. Diaz A. 8. Celiz M. (C) 27. Goitia J. 9. Benegas N. 7. Alonso A.	26. Losada N. (G) 4. Perez G. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale J. 6. Marcich S. 5. Pena Biafore F. 30. Cardozo A. 16. Sepulveda M. 11. Salvio E. 77. Besozzi L. 20. Wlk A.
Substitutes
17. Almada A. 23. Arzamendia M. (G) 13. Gallo R. 21. Gonzalez T. 29. Graneros A. 20. Lauro T. 14. Monje P. 4. Murillo Yaison 40. Obredor G. 18. Perez B. 35. Stringa A. 16. Watson N.	38. Acosta B. 35. De Jesus R. 33. Guidara T. 39. Laplace T. 42. Lobos G. 40. Lopez T. 17. Medina A. 3. Morgantini N. 1. Petroli F. (G) 27. Sanchez F. 19. Valois Y. 8. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Duro G.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Wlk A. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
45+2', Pena Biafore F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Alonso A. ↓, Gonzalez T. ↑,
46', Goitia J. ↓, Watson N. ↑,
46', Quintana C. ↓, Gallo R. ↑,
64', Ramirez P. ↓, Almada A. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Wlk A. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
71', Benegas N. ↓, Graneros A. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Pena Biafore F. ⚽, Sepulveda M. (A),
77', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
78', Wlk A. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
78', Besozzi L. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
82', Diaz A. 🟨,
87', Izquierdoz C. ↓, De Jesus R. ↑,
87', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
88', Sepulveda M. ↓, Lobos G. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 11)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lanús may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Mino F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Marcelino Moreno (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Riestra - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.18%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Copa Argentina
09.09.26	Deportivo Riestra - Banfield	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.26	Platense - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
18.08.26	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTTTW
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.09.26	Lanús - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Lanús - Independiente	1:3 ✺
11.08.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Lanús	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Lanús - Deportivo Riestra	0:0
14.07.25	Deportivo Riestra - Lanús	1:0
23.01.25	Lanús - Deportivo Riestra	0:2
09.08.24	Deportivo Riestra - Lanús	3:1

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