Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 14

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Deportivo Santaní		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.65
	2.54	3.07	2.69
				Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.7	2.99	2.47
	2.35	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	2.71 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Santaní
36.5%

Draw
30%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.1%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Santaní has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, Ovejero M. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Santaní won 3.

Deportivo Santaní has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sportivo San Lorenzo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Deportivo Santaní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Santaní won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Santaní won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Santaní
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.06.25	Deportivo Santaní - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
09.06.25	Resistencia - Deportivo Santaní	3:3 ✺
02.06.25	Deportivo Santaní - Guaireña	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	4:0 ✺
20.05.25	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLLW
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.06.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Encarnación	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Tacuary - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 12 de Junio	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Resistencia - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Capiatá	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.08.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Santaní	3:2
23.05.24	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0
23.07.23	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:2
17.04.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Santaní	0:2
12.09.22	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0
03.06.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Santaní	1:0

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