Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 9

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Deportivo Capiatá

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.27	2.95	3.15
	2.29	2.83	3.16
	2.24	3.05	3.19	Watch
	2.24	3.04	3.1
	2.27	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.46)	2.97 ↓ (3.13)	3.14 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
40.5%

Draw
30.6%

Deportivo Capiatá
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.1%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Deportivo Capiatá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Capiatá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+7', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: )).

Sportivo San Lorenzo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Deportivo Capiatá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sportivo San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.05.25	Guaireña - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guarani de Fram	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - River Plate Asunción	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWT
- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.05.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Guarani de Fram	3:2 ✺
09.05.25	River Plate Asunción - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Rubio Ñu	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Pastoreo - Deportivo Capiatá	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Deportivo Santaní	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTLL

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