Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 12

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday


	Independiente Asuncion		River Plate Asunción

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.65
	1.9	3.25	3.6
	2.14	3.15	3.16
	1.95	3.43	3.84	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4
	1.84	3.24	4.06
	1.9	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.77)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	3.56 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
45.8%

Draw
28.4%

River Plate Asunción
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

27.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Asuncion's form might have worsened.

River Plate Asunción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Independiente Asuncion - River Plate Asunción Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - River Plate (2.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Nunez G. ⚽,
27', Rojas N. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 1, Dietze S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8).

Independiente FBC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

River Plate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Independiente FBC is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Independiente FBC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.06.25	Rubio Ñu - Independiente Asuncion	3:0 ✺
26.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Pastoreo	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Resistencia - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- River Plate Asunción
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
31.05.25	River Plate Asunción - Sol de América	4:0 ✺
24.05.25	Fernando de la Mora - River Plate Asunción	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	River Plate Asunción - Encarnación	4:1 ✺
13.05.25	12 de Junio - River Plate Asunción	2:2 ✺
09.05.25	River Plate Asunción - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
09.09.22	Independiente Asuncion - River Plate Asunción	1:0
06.06.22	River Plate Asunción - Independiente Asuncion	2:0

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