Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Folke Anderson (Esmeraldas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Santo Domingo		Independiente Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.90	2.75
	2.58	2.78	2.78
	2.72	2.86	2.97
	2.62	2.82	3.01	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.7
	2.73	2.76	2.94
	2.6	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.46)	2.8 (2.8)	2.85 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Santo Domingo
35.3%

Draw
32.6%

Independiente Juniors
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

32.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Santo Domingo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Santo Domingo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Deportivo Santo Domingo - Independiente Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. D Santo Domingo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Independiente Jr will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, D Santo Domingo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ind. Juniors	28	12	11	5	35:23	12	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Santo Domingo
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.06.26	El Nacional - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:0 ✺
05.06.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - 22 de Julio	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Gualaceo - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTT
- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.06.26	Independiente Juniors - Cuenca Juniors	4:0 ✺
04.06.26	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	22 de Julio - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
16.04.26	Independiente Juniors - Deportivo Santo Domingo	2:1

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