Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Independiente Juniors		Cuenca Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.00	4.20
	1.79	3.20	4.00
	1.9	3.28	4.33
	1.88	3.21	4.41	Watch
	1.78	3.06	4.46
	1.9	3.07	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	4.33 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Juniors
49.6%

Draw
29.2%

Cuenca Juniors
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cuenca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuenca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Independiente Juniors - Cuenca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cuenca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Independiente Jr is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cuenca Juniors has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Independiente Jr is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Independiente Jr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Juniors	29	13	11	5	36:23	13	50
5	Cuenca Juniors	29	10	9	10	23:32	-9	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.08.26	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	Independiente Juniors - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	2:2 ✺
06.08.26	Independiente Juniors - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTTWW
- Cuenca Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.08.26	Cuenca Juniors - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Cuenca Juniors - Gualaceo	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	22 de Julio - Cuenca Juniors	0:1 ✺
30.07.26	Cumbayá - Cuenca Juniors	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Cuenca Juniors - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
10.06.26	Independiente Juniors - Cuenca Juniors	4:0
09.04.26	Cuenca Juniors - Independiente Juniors	2:1

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