Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	San Antonio		Independiente Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.87	2.20
	2.65	3.00	2.43
	3.29	3.10	2.34
	3.32	2.99	2.31	Watch
	2.85	2.78	2.49
	3.25	3.04	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.16)	2.96 ↓ (3.15)	2.35 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
29.9%

Draw
31%

Independiente Juniors
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Antonio's form might have worsened.

Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Antonio - Independiente Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ind. Juniors	28	12	11	5	35:23	12	47
6	San Antonio	28	7	12	9	26:32	-6	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
20.08.26	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
13.08.26	El Nacional - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	San Antonio - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWWWT
- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
20.08.26	Independiente Juniors - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	2:2 ✺
06.08.26	Independiente Juniors - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	2:3 ✺
23.07.26	Independiente Juniors - Vinotinto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
04.06.26	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	0:0
01.04.26	Independiente Juniors - San Antonio	0:0
29.10.25	Independiente Juniors - San Antonio	6:2
27.08.25	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	1:4
17.08.25	Independiente Juniors - San Antonio	0:0
18.03.25	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	2:0
27.09.24	Independiente Juniors - San Antonio	0:1

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