Match Info

VENEZUELA: Copa Venezuela - Round 6

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo (San Cristóbal)


	Deportivo Táchira		Real Fronteras

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.44	3.89	5.88
	1.48	4.01	6.14	Watch
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.45	4	6.36
	1.49	3.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.73)	3.86 ↑ (3.5)	5.75 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Táchira
60.9%

Draw
23.4%

Real Fronteras
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Táchira's performance.

Real Fronteras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Fronteras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Táchira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Fronteras than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Fronteras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Táchira - Real Fronteras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Mendoza G. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Mendoza G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Vivas C. ⚽,
61', Fernandez R. 🟥,
68', 3 - 1, Uribe A. ⚽,
75', 4 - 1, Chacon Y. ⚽,
88', 5 - 1, Castillo J. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Táchira won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Deportivo Táchira is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Deportivo Táchira won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Táchira won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Táchira
Copa Venezuela
29.06.24	Ureña - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
20.06.24	Real Fronteras - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
13.06.24	Deportivo Táchira - Ureña	5:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.05.24	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Deportivo Táchira - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL
- Real Fronteras
Copa Venezuela
26.06.24	Real Fronteras - Ureña	6:1 ✺
20.06.24	Real Fronteras - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
06.06.24	Ureña - Real Fronteras	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
01.06.24	Yaracuyanos - Real Fronteras	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Real Fronteras - Aragua	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
20.06.24	Real Fronteras - Deportivo Táchira	0:1
18.09.19	Deportivo Táchira - Real Fronteras	1:1
04.09.19	Real Fronteras - Deportivo Táchira	1:5
Club Friendly
12.01.19	Deportivo Táchira - Real Fronteras	2:3
Copa Venezuela
15.08.18	Deportivo Táchira - Real Fronteras	1:0
08.08.18	Real Fronteras - Deportivo Táchira	0:1

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