Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League 2 - Round 20

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Location: Pride Park (Derby)

Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)


	Derby County U21		Everton U21

	1	X	2
	2.5	4	2.25
	2.5	4.2	2.33
	2.4	4.2	2.33
	2.4	3.8	2.25
	2.5	3.81	2.39	Watch
	2.42	4.1	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3.62)	4.02 ↓ (4.14)	2.3 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County U21
37.4%

Draw
22.8%

Everton U21
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

22.1%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

19.3%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derby County U21's performance.

Everton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Everton U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton U21 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Everton U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Derby County U21 - Everton U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Evans H. (G) 7. Allen C. 2. Bartley R. 6. Cox D. 11. McAndrew N. 3. Moloney R. 9. Nto E. 5. Radcliffe B. 8. Robinson D. (C) 4. Stepien-Iwumene A. 10. Trialist A	1. Pickford G. (G) 6. Butterfield L. 2. Dixon R. 11. Dobbin L. 3. Hunt M. 7. Kouyate K. 10. Metcalfe J. 5. Onyango T. 8. Warrington L. (C) 4. Welch R. 9. Whitaker C.
Substitutes
. Gough B. . Hawkins H. . Thompson L. . Trialist B . Trialist C	12. Barnsley F. (G) 17. Boakye K. 16. Catesby J. 14. Kyle John 15. Tierney J.
Coaches
Buxton J.	Tait P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, McAndrew N. ⚽, Trialist A (A),
45', Onyango T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Robinson D. 🟨,
68', Bartley R. 🟨,
68', Trialist A. ↓, Trialist B ↑,
69', Dobbin L. ↓, Boakye K. ↑,
69', Butterfield L. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Moloney R. ⚽, Trialist B (A),
76', 3 - 0, Nto E. ⚽, Robinson D. (A),
77', Nto E. ↓, Gough B. ↑,
84', Kouyate K. ↓, Catesby J. ↑,
87', McAndrew N. ↓, Hawkins H. ↑,
87', Radcliffe B. ↓, Trialist C ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 26 and 24).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Everton U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County U21
English Premier League 2
15.04.24	Leeds United U21 - Derby County U21	3:0 ✺
05.04.24	West Ham United U21 - Derby County U21	3:2 ✺
15.03.24	Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21	1:2 ✺
11.03.24	Derby County U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLLW
- Everton U21
English Premier League 2
22.04.24	Leeds United U21 - Everton U21	1:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
16.04.24	Crystal Palace U21 - Everton U21	4:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
12.04.24	Everton U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	2:3 ✺
08.04.24	Crystal Palace U21 - Everton U21	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Everton U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTL

Derby County U21 - Everton U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide