Match Info

Date: 7 March 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Derby County U23		Middlesbrough U23

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.7
	1.77	3.76	3.35
	1.85	4	3.59
	1.8	4	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.93)	3.84 ↑ (3.5)	3.55 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County U23
50.6%

Draw
23.7%

Middlesbrough U23
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

21.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Middlesbrough U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough U23 than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Middlesbrough U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County U23
English Premier League 2
28.02.20	Derby County U23 - Brighton & Hove Albion U23	1:4 ✺
English Premier League Cup
25.02.20	Wolverhampton U23 - Derby County U23	1:3 ✺
21.02.20	Birmingham City U23 - Derby County U23	1:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
17.02.20	Everton U23 - Derby County U23	2:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
07.02.20	Leeds United U23 - Derby County U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW
- Middlesbrough U23
English Premier League 2
28.02.20	Middlesbrough U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	0:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
21.02.20	Middlesbrough U23 - Crystal Palace U23	1:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
17.02.20	Reading U23 - Middlesbrough U23	0:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
07.02.20	Middlesbrough U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	4:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
02.02.20	Middlesbrough U23 - Fulham U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League Cup
23.02.18	Middlesbrough U23 - Derby County U23	2:1
01.12.17	Derby County U23 - Middlesbrough U23	2:1

Derby County U23 - Middlesbrough U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Form

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