Match Info

Date: 21 February 2020, Friday


	Birmingham City U23		Derby County U23

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.1	1.6
	3.45	4.2	1.7
	3.45	4.2	1.67
	3.23	3.76	2.02
	3.32	3.86	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	4.02 ↓ (4.34)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City U23
25.9%

Draw
22.7%

Derby County U23
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

20.8%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

13.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Birmingham City U23 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Derby County U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City U23 than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Birmingham City U23 - Derby County U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City U23
English Premier League Cup
06.02.20	Birmingham City U23 - Wolverhampton U23	2:2 ✺
English Professional Development League
31.01.20	Birmingham City U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	1:3 ✺
24.01.20	Birmingham City U23 - Barnsley U23	3:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
17.01.20	Birmingham City U23 - Leeds United U23	2:0 ✺
English Professional Development League
10.01.20	Birmingham City U23 - Wigan Athletic U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWL
- Derby County U23
English Premier League 2
17.02.20	Everton U23 - Derby County U23	2:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
07.02.20	Leeds United U23 - Derby County U23	1:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
03.02.20	Blackburn Rovers U23 - Derby County U23	2:0 ✺
13.01.20	Derby County U23 - Tottenham Hotspur U23	2:2 ✺
03.01.20	Arsenal U23 - Derby County U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League Cup
02.12.19	Derby County U23 - Birmingham City U23	5:1
22.01.18	Derby County U23 - Birmingham City U23	7:2
29.09.17	Birmingham City U23 - Derby County U23	0:1

Birmingham City U23 - Derby County U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide