Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 31

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Derio		Aurrerá de Vitoria

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.05
	1.69	3.56	4.57
	1.82	3.38	4.12
	1.73	3.25	4.4
	1.66	3.4	4.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 (1.73)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	4.41 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derio
52.5%

Draw
26.9%

Aurrerá de Vitoria
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Derio - Aurrerá de Vitoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

Derio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aurrerá de Vitoria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Derio is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aurrera de Vitoria	5	4	1	0	10:4	6	13
2	Derio	5	3	2	0	7:2	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Derio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.04.26	Leioa - Derio	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Derio - Eibar C	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Añorga - Derio	3:0 ✺
19.03.26	Derio - Durango	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Aretxabaleta - Derio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLWW
- Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.04.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Touring KE	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Alavés C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Zarautz KE	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Leioa	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Eibar C - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.12.25	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Derio	1:1

Derio - Aurrerá de Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide