Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday
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Derio |
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Durango |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.28 |
3.1 |
2.88 |
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2.37 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
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1.54 |
4.38 |
4.88 |
 Watch |
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2.3 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
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2.22 |
3.02 |
3.12 |
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1.91 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.9) |
3.27 ↓
(3.4) |
3.33 ↓
(3.55) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Derio
43.9% | Draw
28.3% | Durango
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-2.9%)Derio - Durango Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mikel ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 62', 2 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 0, Carreras Arino G. ⚽,
- 90+2', 4 - 0, Moral M. ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).Derio is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Durango has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). Derio might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Derio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).Including home matches between the teams, Derio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Derio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 11 |
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| 10 | Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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