Match Info

Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Derry City		Cork City

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	15	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7.75
	1.24	5.3	11.5
	1.25	5.88	13.1
	1.24	5.50	12.75	Watch
	1.36	4	8
	1.24	5.19	14.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	5.09 ↑ (4.66)	11.84 ↑ (8.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derry City
73.6%

Draw
18.5%

Cork City
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

20.1%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

19%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Cork City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Derry City - Cork City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Derry (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Derry City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maher B. (G) 19. Fleming B. 16. Cann H. 6. Connolly M. (C) 22. Stott J. 8. O'Reilly A. 15. Diallo S. 11. Whyte G. 20. Winchester C. 7. Duffy M. 27. Boyce L.	13. Brann C. (G) 2. Nevin H. 17. Crowley D. 23. Anderson F. 19. Kiernan M. 10. Nolan A. 8. McLaughlin E. 28. Feely R. 14. Nelson K. 20. Fitzpatrick J. 24. Maguire S. (C)
Substitutes
29. Akinyemi D. 2. Boyce R. 26. Doherty A. (G) 14. Doherty B. 3. Ferguson S. 17. Frizzell A. 21. Mullen D. 24. Todd S.	3. Couto B. 15. Drinan C. 31. Kamara K. 38. Lee B. 29. Lutz C. 30. Moloney R. (G) 25. Murray M.
Coaches
Lynch T.	Nash G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Diallo S. 🟨,
18', Nelson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
55', Boyce L. ↓, Akinyemi D. ↑,
58', Winchester C. 🟨,
63', Whyte G. ↓, Doherty B. ↑,
63', Fleming B. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
72', Diallo S. ↓, Boyce R. ↑,
73', Nelson K. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
81', Maguire S. ↓, Lutz C. ↑,
90+6', Lutz C. ↓, Couto B. ↑,
90+8', Fitzpatrick J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Derry has had a series of away games.

Recently, Cork City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Derry is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
03.08.25	Shamrock Rovers - Derry City	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Derry City - Bohemians Dublin	1:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
18.07.25	Treaty United - Derry City	1:5 ✺
Irish Premier Division
12.07.25	Sligo Rovers - Derry City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Cliftonville - Derry City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTWLT
- Cork City
Irish Premier Division
01.08.25	Cork City - Galway United	1:0 ✺
25.07.25	Cork City - Sligo Rovers	2:3 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
19.07.25	Cork City - Leicester Celtic	3:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
11.07.25	Waterford - Cork City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Cork City - Celtic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
09.05.25	Cork City - Derry City	1:2
04.04.25	Derry City - Cork City	2:1
Irish FAI Cup
16.08.24	Cork City - Derry City	0:1
Irish Premier Division
27.10.23	Cork City - Derry City	0:1
23.06.23	Derry City - Cork City	2:0
21.04.23	Cork City - Derry City	1:3
24.02.23	Derry City - Cork City	2:0

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