Match Info

Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday

Location: Regional Sports Centre (Waterford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Waterford		Cork City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.2	Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.5
	2.1	3.35	3.2
	2.21	3.58	3.29
				Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	2.17	3.48	3.29	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.96)	3.44 ↓ (3.67)	3.34 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterford
45.2%

Draw
27%

Cork City
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

25.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

22.8%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cork City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cork City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	13%	0%

Waterford - Cork City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Waterford (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Waterford will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McMullan S. (G) 15. Leahy D. 5. Horton G. 4. Boyle A. 3. Burke R. 6. McDonald R. 20. Noonan C. 19. Glenfield S. 16. White K. 18. Lonergan T. 9. Amond P. (C)	1. Odumosu D. (G) 17. Crowley D. 28. Feely R. 4. Kelleher F. (C) 19. Kiernan M. 6. Bolger G. 11. O'Sullivan C. 7. Dijksteel M. 8. McLaughlin E. 14. Nelson K. 24. Maguire S.
Substitutes
64. Cala O. 99. Coyle T. 14. Dempsey J. 47. Keane S. 22. Mansfield R. 7. McCormack B. 27. McMenamy D. 8. Olayinka J. 31. Wade B. (G)	23. Anderson F. 13. Brann C. (G) 20. Fitzpatrick J. 38. Lee B. 29. Lutz C. 30. Moloney R. (G) 25. Murray M. 2. Nevin H. 10. Nolan A.
Coaches
Coleman J.	Nash G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Glenfield S. ⚽,
28', Bolger G. ↓, Anderson F. ↑,
36', 2 - 0, Lonergan T. ⚽, Horton G. (A),
40', Glenfield S. 🟨,
42', Kiernan M. 🟨,
45+1', Glenfield S. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', White K. ↓, Dempsey J. ↑,
64', Maguire S. ↓, Lutz C. ↑,
66', Nelson K. 🟨,
72', Kelleher F. 🟨,
76', Feely R. ↓, Murray M. ↑,
83', Noonan C. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
83', McDonald R. ↓, McCormack B. ↑,
90+2', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
90+5', Lonergan T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Waterford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Waterford: Smith M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cork City: Couto B. (Ankle Injury) Drinan C. (Knee Injury) Keating R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lyons C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Waterford: Radkowski K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterford FC
Irish Premier Division
04.07.25	Derry City - Waterford	7:2 ✺
27.06.25	Shamrock Rovers - Waterford	1:0 ✺
23.06.25	Waterford - Shelbourne	2:2 ✺
20.06.25	Waterford - Bohemians Dublin	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Sligo Rovers - Waterford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWL
- Cork City
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Cork City - Celtic	1:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
04.07.25	Shelbourne - Cork City	3:1 ✺
27.06.25	Cork City - St Patricks Athletic	0:0 ✺
23.06.25	Cork City - Drogheda United	1:1 ✺
20.06.25	Shamrock Rovers - Cork City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
21.04.25	Cork City - Waterford	2:1
03.03.25	Waterford - Cork City	2:1
Club Friendly
25.01.25	Cork City - Waterford	3:1
Irish Division 1
10.11.23	Waterford - Cork City	2:1 ET
Irish FAI Cup
21.08.23	Cork City - Waterford	3:0
Irish Division 1
09.09.22	Waterford - Cork City	1:2
15.08.22	Cork City - Waterford	0:0

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