Match Info

FAI Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Markets Field (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Treaty United		Derry City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9	5.25	1.25
	7.9	4.45	1.33
	10.74	4.34	1.41
	8.48	3.20	1.55	Watch
	12	4.75	1.25
	9.35	4.15	1.36	Watch
	9.1	7.5	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.51 ↑ (9.1)	4.81 ↓ (7.5)	1.33 ↑ (1.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treaty United
9.9%

Draw
19.6%

Derry City
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.1%

12.2%

77.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derry City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Treaty United - Derry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Treaty United will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Derry will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Treaty United (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Derry (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Treaty United (votes: 2 - 40%). Derry (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 5)
60', 0 - 1, Boyce L. ⚽,
73', 0 - 2, Bannon A. ⚽,
75', 0 - 3, Boyce L. ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, Devitt L. ⚽,
85', 1 - 4, Boyce L. (Pen),
87', 1 - 5, Mullen D. ⚽,

Preview

Treaty United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Derry is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Treaty United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Derry is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Treaty United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treaty United
Irish Division 1
11.07.25	Treaty United - Cobh Ramblers	2:1 ✺
04.07.25	University College Dublin - Treaty United	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	Treaty United - Finn Harps	0:1 ✺
23.06.25	Treaty United - Wexford	0:0 ✺
20.06.25	Dundalk - Treaty United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLTT
- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
12.07.25	Sligo Rovers - Derry City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Cliftonville - Derry City	2:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
04.07.25	Derry City - Waterford	7:2 ✺
27.06.25	Derry City - Drogheda United	3:0 ✺
23.06.25	St Patricks Athletic - Derry City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish FAI Cup
16.10.22	Derry City - Treaty United	2:1

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