Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Referee: Cavacini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport MIX


	Desenzano Calvina		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.20	2.60
	2.4	3.15	2.72	Watch
	2.47	3.35	2.79
	2.43	3.33	2.67	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.6
	2.38	3.2	2.57	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.26)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	2.66 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
37.8%

Draw
28%

Juventus U23
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Juventus U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Desenzano Calvina - Juventus U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minelli S. (G) 70. Parlato M. 19. Pilati A. 6. Panelli T. 2. Milani L. 77. Liberati F. 43. Lupano L. 15. De Francesco A. (C) 24. Biondi K. 9. Santini C. 30. Procaccio A.	40. Radu R. (G) 15. Savio F. 2. Rizzo N. 44. Montero A. 38. Corradi C. 48. Grelaud J. 8. Owusu A. 5. Macca F. 72. Melegoni F. 17. Guerra S. (C) 7. Oboavwoduo J.
Substitutes
20. Andreis D. 49. Baldi L. 12. Bastianoni F. (G) 23. Bono F. 22. Cassin M. (G) 3. Giorgi L. 7. Moscati M. 17. Onofrio S. 8. Tomaselli S.	11. Amaradio L. 18. Brugarello M. 30. Cat Berro S. (G) 9. Durmisi A. 1. Fuscaldo M. (G) 27. Leone F. 6. Makiobo G. 24. Mazur P. 21. Merola A. 26. Ripani D. 34. Turco S. 4. van Aarle S.
Coaches
Gaburro M.	Brambilla M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Macca F. 🟨,
58', Owusu A. ↓, Makiobo G. ↑,
67', Procaccio A. ↓, Moscati M. ↑,
68', Oboavwoduo J. ↓, Merola A. ↑,
68', Guerra S. ↓, Durmisi A. ↑,
78', Milani L. 🟨,
83', Rizzo N. ↓, Turco S. ↑,
83', Macca F. ↓, Ripani D. ↑,
84', Panelli T. ↓, Baldi L. ↑,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 14th and 16th).

In recent outings, Desenzano has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Juventus U23 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Recently, Desenzano has faced a series of away games on the road.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Desenzano	8	2	4	2	6:7	-1	10
18	Juventus U23	7	1	3	3	7:13	-6	6

Last Results with these Odds

Juventus U23 - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.75%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.26	Treviso - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Lecco	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Brescia - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Trento - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TLWLW
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.26	Juventus U23 - AlbinoLeffe	3:5 ✺
17.09.26	Cittadella - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ospitaletto - Juventus U23	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Juventus U23 - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Carpi - Juventus U23	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTT

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