Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Omobono Tenni (Treviso) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Treviso		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.20	4.60
	1.74	3.05	4.35	Watch
	2.11	3.20	4.59
	2.04	3.03	3.76	Watch
	1.68	3.35	5.40
	1.75	3.47	4.73	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.95)	3.22 ↑ (3.16)	4.59 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso
51%

Draw
28.8%

Desenzano Calvina
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Treviso - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Treviso will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Nobile T. (G) 8. Cappelletti D. 13. Maestrelli A. 5. Bove D. 2. Brigati A. 7. Brevi T. 27. Gucher R. (C) 4. Rossi G. 94. Liotti D. 91. Odogwu R. 9. Tommasini C.	22. Cassin M. (G) 70. Parlato M. 19. Pilati A. 6. Panelli T. 2. Milani L. 77. Liberati F. 15. De Francesco A. (C) 43. Lupano L. 24. Biondi K. 9. Santini C. 30. Procaccio A.
Substitutes
1. Bisetto R. (G) 21. Ceccacci M. 10. Ciuferri F. 59. De Lazzari F. 44. Guiyong F. 22. Leonardelli P. (G) 76. Lombardi A. 11. Mellino C. 78. Ndulue D. 17. Paganini L. 25. Romeo F. 14. Vimercati A.	20. Andreis D. 49. Baldi L. 12. Bastianoni F. (G) 23. Bono F. 3. Giorgi L. 1. Minelli S. (G) 7. Moscati M. 17. Onofrio S. 93. Reggiori P. 8. Tomaselli S.
Coaches
Gorini E.	Gaburro M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Odogwu R. ↓, Paganini L. ↑,
16', Pilati A. 🟨,
39', De Francesco A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Parlato M. 🟨,
60', Liberati F. ↓, Moscati M. ↑,
66', Paganini L. 🟨,
70', Milani L. 🟨,
75', Rossi G. ↓, Ciuferri F. ↑,
75', Gucher R. ↓, Romeo F. ↑,
79', Maestrelli A. 🟨,
83', Procaccio A. ↓, Andreis D. ↑,
83', Lupano L. ↓, Baldi L. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17th in the Serie C ~ Play Out).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Desenzano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Treviso holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Treviso	11	5	4	2	12:8	4	19
11	Desenzano	10	3	4	3	9:11	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Treviso - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.15%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso
Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.26	Brescia - Treviso	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Treviso - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Alcione - Treviso	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Treviso - Lecco	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Trento - Treviso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWTWL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Lecco	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Brescia - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Trento - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.26	Desenzano Calvina - Trento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWLWT

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