Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Desenzano Calvina		Leon

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.16	5.56
	1.46	4.33	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.35)	4.25 ↑ (4.08)	5.71 ↓ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
62.7%

Draw
21.4%

Leon
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

21.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

21.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Calvina is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Calvina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.04.22	Desenzano Calvina - Vis Nova Giussano	4:1 ✺
10.04.22	Brusaporto - Desenzano Calvina	3:1 ✺
03.04.22	Casatese - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
30.03.22	Desenzano Calvina - Olginatese	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Breno - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWT
- AC Leon
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.04.22	Breno - Leon	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Leon - Real Calepina	4:3 ✺
03.04.22	Villa Valle - Leon	5:0 ✺
30.03.22	Leon - Franciacorta	1:4 ✺
27.03.22	Leon - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
08.12.21	Leon - Desenzano Calvina	2:2

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