Match Info

Date: 30 March 2022, Wednesday


	Desenzano Calvina		Olginatese

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.75
	1.64	3.47	4.67
	1.67	3.4	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.64)	3.46 ↓ (3.56)	4.82 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
55.1%

Draw
26.1%

Olginatese
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

26.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Olginatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olginatese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Calvina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olginatese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olginatese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Calvina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Calvina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.03.22	Breno - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Desenzano Calvina - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
13.03.22	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Legnano - Desenzano Calvina	2:2 ✺
02.03.22	Villa Valle - Desenzano Calvina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLTT
- USD Olginatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.03.22	Olginatese - Casatese	2:1 ✺
13.03.22	Brusaporto - Olginatese	3:2 ✺
06.03.22	Breno - Olginatese	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Olginatese - Crema	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Legnano - Olginatese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
14.11.21	Olginatese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1

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