Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Desenzano Calvina		Vis Nova Giussano

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.55
	2.35	3.3	2.6
	2.37	3.48	2.49
	2.4	3	2.62
	2.45	3.44	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.86)	3.29 ↓ (3.38)	2.57 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
37.7%

Draw
27.3%

Vis Nova Giussano
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.8%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

28.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desenzano Calvina's form might have worsened.

Vis Nova Giussano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vis Nova Giussano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Nova Giussano than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vis Nova Giussano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Desenzano Calvina - Vis Nova Giussano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Calvina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vis Nova Giussano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Calvina is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Calvina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Calvina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.04.22	Brusaporto - Desenzano Calvina	3:1 ✺
03.04.22	Casatese - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
30.03.22	Desenzano Calvina - Olginatese	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Breno - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Desenzano Calvina - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWTW
- ASD Vis Nova Giussano
Italian Serie D - Group B
09.04.22	Vis Nova Giussano - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Arconatese - Vis Nova Giussano	0:1 ✺
30.03.22	Vis Nova Giussano - Caravaggio	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Real Calepina - Vis Nova Giussano	1:0 ✺
13.03.22	Vis Nova Giussano - Villa Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
04.12.21	Vis Nova Giussano - Desenzano Calvina	1:2
01.04.21	Vis Nova Giussano - Desenzano Calvina	1:2
13.12.20	Desenzano Calvina - Vis Nova Giussano	2:1

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