Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 34

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Seregno

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.3
	2.46	2.94	2.8
	2.4	3.28	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.95)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	2.95 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
39.9%

Draw
29.3%

Seregno
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

25.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Seregno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seregno than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seregno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Desenzano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Desenzano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.04.23	Varesina - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	1:3 ✺
16.04.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
06.04.23	Desenzano Calvina - Alcione	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Lumezzane - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWTT
- Seregno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.04.23	Seregno - Breno	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Real Calepina - Seregno	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Seregno - Sona	3:1 ✺
06.04.23	Varesina - Seregno	5:2 ✺
02.04.23	Alcione - Seregno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.22	Seregno - Desenzano Calvina	1:3
09.05.21	Seregno - Desenzano Calvina	0:1
24.01.21	Desenzano Calvina - Seregno	3:3

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