Match Info

Capixaba - Round 8

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe (Cariacica)


	Desportiva Ferroviaria		Capixaba SC

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.8	6.3
	1.57	3.56	5.25
	1.56	3.68	5.59	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.62	3.75	5.46
	1.57	3.6	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.29)	3.65 ↓ (4.1)	5.66 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportiva Ferroviaria
58.9%

Draw
25%

Capixaba SC
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

21%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportiva Ferroviaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desportiva Ferroviaria's form might have worsened.

Capixaba SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Desportiva Ferroviaria - Capixaba SC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Capixaba (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Capixaba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Pedro Zanette (G) 23. Bahia 3. Janelson 16. Jhonatan Marino 14. Jorge Mendes 2. Kevin 13. Mariano (C) 5. Ruan 20. Tiago Moura 4. Vinicius Leandro 11. Yan de Jesus	1. Esio (G) 10. Andrade 3. Cafe 4. Carlos 2. Davi Mineiro 14. Feijao 6. Gilliard 9. Jeffin 5. Oliveira H. 11. Pepe 16. Tavares G.
Substitutes
25. Cunha V. M. 10. Davi 9. Kieza 15. Lekinho 17. Lucas Tavares 8. Parmanhani K. 1. Rafael Mallmann (G) 7. Rodriguinho 19. Romaneli 22. Talles 18. Wesley Dias 6. Wilian Simoes	21. Dembele 18. Fernandes G. 20. Gian Carlos 12. Gustavo Baioco (G) 7. Marquinhos 8. Max 17. Montes J. 13. Tibil

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Andrade ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
46', Ruan ↓, Kieza ↑,
64', Mariano ↓, Lekinho ↑,
64', Yan de Jesus ↓, Kiezinha ↑,
64', Feijao ↓, Gian Carlos ↑,
64', Oliveira H. ↓, Max ↑,
70', Carlos 🟨,
84', Gian Carlos (Penalty Awarded),
85', 0 - 1, Gian Carlos ⚽,
85', Janelson ↓, Parmanhani K. ↑,
85', Tiago Moura ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
90+8', 🟨,
90+12', Fernandes G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2).

Ferroviaria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Capixaba is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferroviaria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferroviaria is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviaria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportiva Ferroviaria
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
05.02.26	Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Porto Vitória	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Vitória ES - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTWL
- Capixaba SC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
04.02.26	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco AC ES	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Vitória ES - Capixaba SC	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Serra - Capixaba SC	3:0 ✺
22.01.26	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco-VN	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
28.01.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Capixaba SC	1:1
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
29.05.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Capixaba SC	2:1

Desportiva Ferroviaria - Capixaba SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide