The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Desportivo Monção 18.3%
Draw 26.7%
Celoricense 55%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
27.1%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
26.6%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desportivo Monção has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desportivo Monção's form might have worsened.
Celoricense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celoricense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportivo Monção, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celoricense than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celoricense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Desportivo Monção - Celoricense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).
Desportivo Monção has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Celoricense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Celoricense might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desportivo Monção won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.