Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Deusto		Aurrerá de Vitoria

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.45
	3.96	3.51	1.84	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.85	3.22	3.99
	1.84	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.97)	3.25 (3.25)	3.66 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deusto
43.4%

Draw
30%

Aurrerá de Vitoria
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Aurrerá de Vitoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deusto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Deusto - Aurrerá de Vitoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

Recent form of Deusto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aurrerá de Vitoria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deusto could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Deusto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aurrera de Vitoria	5	4	1	0	10:4	6	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Deusto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
04.01.26	Leioa - Deusto	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Deusto - Eibar C	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Añorga - Deusto	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Deusto - Durango	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Aretxabaleta - Deusto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW
- Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.01.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	San Ignacio - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Derio	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Touring KE - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Zarautz KE - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.04.23	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Deusto	0:2
03.12.22	Deusto - Aurrerá de Vitoria	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
07.10.17	Deusto - Aurrerá de Vitoria	2:0

Deusto - Aurrerá de Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide