Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Deusto		Derio

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.98	2.98
	2.31	3	3.01
	2.35	3.03	3.01	Watch
	2.31	2.96	3.02
	2.3	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)	2.99 ↑ (2.99)	3 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deusto
39.4%

Draw
30.4%

Derio
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

30.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Deusto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Deusto - Derio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Carreras Arino G. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Issakhi Y. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Barron J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deusto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Derio	5	3	2	0	7:2	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Deusto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.01.26	Touring KE - Deusto	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Deusto - Alavés C	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Deusto - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Leioa - Deusto	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Deusto - Eibar C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT
- CD Derio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.01.26	Derio - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	San Ignacio - Derio	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Derio - Zarautz KE	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Touring KE - Derio	5:2 ✺
20.12.25	Derio - Alavés C	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	Derio - Deusto	1:1
08.02.25	Deusto - Derio	1:2
28.09.24	Derio - Deusto	2:3
01.05.24	Deusto - Derio	1:0
07.01.24	Derio - Deusto	1:1

Deusto - Derio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide