Match Info
Premiere Division - Round 19Date: 3 May 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Mali | ORTM |
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Diarra |
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Binga |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
2.55 |
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 |
3.35 |
2.88 |
2.15 |
 Watch |
 |
3.44 |
2.87 |
2.12 |
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 |
3.64 |
2.74 |
2.23 |
Watch |
 |
3.4 |
2.93 |
2.3 |
Watch |
 |
2.28 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.56) |
2.85 ↑
(2.81) |
2.38 ↓
(2.78) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Diarra
29.2% | Draw
32.2% | Binga
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diarra's form might have worsened.Binga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Binga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binga than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Binga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Diarra - Binga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).Diarra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Binga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, Binga has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diarra won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).Including home match between the teams, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Diarra | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:24 | 8 | 44 |
| 5 | Binga | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 28:15 | 13 | 43 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Binga - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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