Match Info

I Liqa - Round 20

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Difai Ağsu		Karvan

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.3	1.59	Watch
				Watch
	5.73	4.35	1.44
	4.2	4.3	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↓ (6.64)	4.32 ↑ (3.47)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Difai Ağsu
19.4%

Draw
21.2%

Karvan
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

26.1%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

25.9%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Difai Ağsu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Difai Ağsu's performance.

Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Difai Ağsu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Difai Ağsu - Karvan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
5', 0 - 1, Qasymov E. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Teymurov B. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Zeynalov T. ⚽,
42', 1 - 3, Kings P. ⚽,
42', 1 - 4, Aliyev S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 5, Kings P. ⚽,
71', 2 - 5, Aliyev S. ⚽,
75', 3 - 5, Kamta K. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Difai won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Karvan is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Difai won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Difai won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Difai Ağsu
Azerbaijan First Division
27.03.25	MOIK Baku - Difai Ağsu	1:3 ✺
13.03.25	Cəbrayıl - Difai Ağsu	0:4 ✺
06.03.25	Difai Ağsu - Baku Sporting	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu	1:0 ✺
20.02.25	Difai Ağsu - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLLW
- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan First Division
27.03.25	Karvan - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
13.03.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Karvan	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Karvan - Zagatala	3:2 ✺
28.02.25	Gabala - Karvan	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Cəbrayıl - Karvan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
30.01.25	Karvan - Difai Ağsu	3:3
03.10.24	Difai Ağsu - Karvan	1:4
28.03.24	Karvan - Difai Ağsu	0:0
13.12.23	Difai Ağsu - Karvan	1:0
Azerbaijan Cup
28.11.23	Karvan - Difai Ağsu	1:0
Azerbaijan First Division
29.09.23	Karvan - Difai Ağsu	2:0

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