Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Dijon		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.9
	2	3.25	3.75	Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.8
	2.01	3.46	4.05
	2	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2	3.5	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)	3.31 ↑ (3.19)	3.88 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
47.4%

Draw
28.4%

Dunkerque
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

21.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dijon's performance.

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dijon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	23.5%	11.8%

Dijon - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Dijon has the most likely position - 10 (7.39%), has project points - 53, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Dunkerque has the most likely position - 20 (23.13%), has project points - 35, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Dijon will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
11.09.21	Dijon - Bastia	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Pau - Dijon	2:0 ✺
21.08.21	Dijon - Toulouse	2:4 ✺
14.08.21	Quevilly - Dijon	2:1 ✺
07.08.21	Dijon - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLT
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
11.09.21	Dunkerque - Nancy	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Rodez - Dunkerque	2:2 ✺
21.08.21	Dunkerque - Nîmes	0:2 ✺
14.08.21	Sochaux - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
07.08.21	Dunkerque - Niort	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLL

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