The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dijon 24.2%
Draw 27.4%
Toulouse 48.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24%
27.1%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.9%
21.3%
62.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dijon that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.5%
19.2%
69.2%
Dijon - Toulouse Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Toulouse will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 51.5% – 86.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Dijon has the most likely position - 4 (8.91%), has project points - 56, has currently - 1, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (46.1%), has project points - 77, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (71%), has a chance of win league (46%).
Dijon has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Toulouse is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Toulouse is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Dijon won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.
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