Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dijon		Bastia

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.75	Watch
	2.8	2.87	2.7
	2.88	2.7	2.75
	2.9	2.9	2.92
	2.8	2.8	2.7
	2.89	2.91	2.72	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.61)	2.88 ↓ (2.89)	2.76 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
33.2%

Draw
32.7%

Bastia
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

32.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

31.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	55%	20%

Dijon - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Bastia will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 5).

Dijon has the most likely position - 18 (23.85%), project points - 38, currently - 30, a good chance of relegated (71%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Bastia has the most likely position - 5 (28.52%), project points - 62, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (4%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, importance 38, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Dijon is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bastia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
15.04.23	Quevilly - Dijon	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Dijon - Rodez	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Caen - Dijon	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Dijon - Pau	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Guingamp - Dijon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLLL
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
15.04.23	Bastia - Annecy	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Bordeaux - Bastia	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Bastia - Sochaux	3:2 ✺
18.03.23	Paris FC - Bastia	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Valenciennes - Bastia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.09.22	Bastia - Dijon	1:0
19.02.22	Bastia - Dijon	0:0
11.09.21	Dijon - Bastia	2:1
French Ligue 1
08.04.17	Dijon - Bastia	1:2
29.10.16	Bastia - Dijon	0:0

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