The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dijon 19.6%
Draw 25%
Saint-Étienne 55.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
26.2%
48.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
26%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dijon's form might have worsened.
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dijon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Dijon - Saint Étienne Predictions
Users Predictions:
Saint-Étienne will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 93. Bouleghcha I. 23. Lacroix L. 5. Bernard Q. (C) 31. Faty M. 8. Bellon P. 21. Chouchane S. 17. Lembezat A. 18. Ndezi B. 11. Tavares J. 9. Dong T.
30. Larsonneur G. (G) 23. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. (C) 18. Nair S. 6. Bernauer M. 16. Svetlin T. 14. Csongvai A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 20. Boakye A. 8. Ballo T. 7. Cardona I.
Substitutes
42. Aka Y. 10. Barka Y. 4. Barreto M. 6. Diouf W. 7. Hamada B. 14. Marie J. 46. Marie-Rose I. (G) 29. Ntamack A. 20. Vargas-Rios H.
32. Baallal A. 17. Duffus J. 31. El Jamali N. 37. Kasia N. 40. Lavallee L. (G) 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 11. Old B. 35. Sissoko M.
Coaches
Ridira B.
Cathro I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Ballo T. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Chouchane S. ⚽, Bellon P. (A),
44', Bellon P. 🟨,
45+2', Davitashvili Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 2 - 1, Chouchane S. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Ballo T. ⚽,
65', Tavares J. ↓, Barka Y. ↑,
65', Dong T. ↓, Ntamack A. ↑,
65', Ballo T. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
66', Svetlin T. ↓, Old B. ↑,
73', Bellon P. ↓, Aka Y. ↑,
73', Lembezat A. ↓, Marie J. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Boakye A. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
82', Faty M. ↓, Barreto M. ↑,
84', Boakye A. ↓, Baallal A. ↑,
90+3', Davitashvili Z. ↓, El Jamali N. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 2.
Recent performances by Dijon have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Saint-Étienne is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Recently, Dijon has had a series of away games.
Recently, Saint-Étienne has had a series of home games.
In this match, Saint-Étienne is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Dijon: Benyahya A.
(Inactive)
Diallo B.
(Inactive)
Hamada B.
(Inactive)
Obongo C.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Saint-Étienne: El Jamali N.
(Knee Injury)
Eymard P.
(Foot Injury)
Ferreira J.
(Injury)
Lamba C.
(Injury)
Old B.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Jaber M.
(Surgery)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Dijon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.4:1.4).