Match Info

National - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Dijon		Quevilly

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.7	5.7
	1.65	3.65	5.88
	1.03	11.36	25.00	Watch
	1.57	3.66	5.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)	5.59 ↑ (3.7)	10.61 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
71.6%

Draw
18.6%

Quevilly
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24.9%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.8%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dijon's performance.

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quevilly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dijon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quevilly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Dijon - Quevilly Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Quevilly will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dijon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Delecroix P. (G) 32. Obongo C. 6. Diouf W. 5. Bernard Q. 3. Khatir F. 18. Ndezi B. 14. Marie J. (C) 17. Lembezat A. 4. Barreto M. 29. Ntamack A. 10. Barka Y.	30. Bonnevie K. (G) 21. Diallo N. 23. Mounsesse J. 26. Theresin V. 27. Pionnier T. 8. Bouekou N. 5. Balde Y. 11. Diliwidi K. 18. Leborgne J. (C) 7. Sylva K. 9. Anani A.
Substitutes
21. Chouchane S. 7. Hamada B. 23. Lacroix L. 33. Rombogouera F. 11. Tavares J.	4. Dede-Lhomme Y. 20. Moujetzky M. 22. Pirringuel L. 28. Samoura I. 29. Vandenbossche N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Ndezi B. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Barka Y. (Pen),
32', 2 - 0, Barreto M. ⚽, Ntamack A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ndezi B. ↓, Hamada B. ↑,
46', Balde Y. ↓, Moujetzky M. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Hamada B. ⚽, Barreto M. (A),
53', 4 - 0, Ntamack A. ⚽, Lembezat A. (A),
62', Bernard Q. ↓, Lacroix L. ↑,
62', Barreto M. ↓, Chouchane S. ↑,
64', Pionnier T. ↓, Dede-Lhomme Y. ↑,
64', Anani A. ↓, Samoura I. ↑,
70', Marie J. 🟨,
71', Ntamack A. 🟨,
72', Barka Y. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
73', Bouekou N. ↓, Vandenbossche N. ↑,
73', Sylva K. ↓, Pirringuel L. ↑,
78', Ntamack A. ↓, Rombogouera F. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Moujetzky M. ⚽, Leborgne J. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 0.

Dijon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Quevilly has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Dijon is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dijon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
03.10.25	Aubagne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Dijon - Concarneau	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Dijon - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Caen - Dijon	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dijon - Paris 13 Atletico	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTTW
- US Quevilly
French Ligue 3
03.10.25	Quevilly - Fleury 91	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Versailles - Quevilly	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Quevilly	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Quevilly - Aubagne	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Concarneau - Quevilly	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
24.01.25	Dijon - Quevilly	3:3
23.08.24	Quevilly - Dijon	2:1
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Quevilly - Dijon	3:1
French Ligue 2
15.04.23	Quevilly - Dijon	2:2
15.10.22	Dijon - Quevilly	0:0
22.01.22	Dijon - Quevilly	1:0
14.08.21	Quevilly - Dijon	2:1

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