Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Elbasan Arena (Elbasani)

Referee: Vergetis C. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dinamo City		Auda Riga

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.1	Watch
	1.93	3.40	3.60
	1.98	3.5	3.35	Watch
	2.03	3.46	3.53
	2.02	3.55	3.5	Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.45
	2.05	3.52	3.71	Watch
	2.02	3.45	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.24)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	3.46 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo City
46.6%

Draw
26.6%

Auda Riga
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.1%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo City's performance.

Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auda Riga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	37.5%	18.7%

Dinamo City - Auda Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Dinamo City will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Auda will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo City: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Teqja A. (G) 2. Ismaili U. 22. Dita B. (C) 27. Aliji N. 47. Lorran 21. Qefalia K. 8. Qardaku E. 10. Vila L. 29. Berisha H. 20. Ayodeji M. 11. Silva-Richards R.	98. Purins N. (G) 2. Hrvoj T. 4. Ouedraogo M. 18. Arroyo A. 71. Rubenis O. 8. Bongemba E. 20. Traore Y. 10. Fofana W. 17. Daskevics E. (C) 47. Kone K. 25. Diedhiou B.
Substitutes
6. Alhassan A. 45. Aniekan James B. 16. Bleta N. 33. Fadairo D. 24. Farruku F. 5. Hoxhallari E. 97. Kiri T. (G) 28. Manellari I. 18. Metaj D. 88. Ruci F. 1. Sali E. (G)	12. Aleksandrovs N. (G) 7. Appiah A. 80. Aranda S. 23. Fofana M. 46. Gerold J. 14. Ibrahim H. 6. Kragliks R. 26. Lusweki H. 77. Minins J. 1. Sturins R. (G)
Coaches
Daja I.	Zanetti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Arroyo A. 🟨,
35', Lorran ↓, Hoxhallari E. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Qardaku E. ⚽, Silva-Richards R. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Qefalia K. ⚽, Qardaku E. (A),
45+6', Traore Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Ayodeji M. ⚽, Silva-Richards R. (A),
56', Arroyo A. ↓, Kragliks R. ↑,
60', Bongemba E. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
66', Diedhiou B. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
66', Daskevics E. ↓, Gerold J. ↑,
69', Berisha H. ↓, Ruci F. ↑,
69', Silva-Richards R. ↓, Fadairo D. ↑,
69', Qardaku E. ↓, Manellari I. ↑,
72', Kone K. 🟨,
79', 4 - 0, Fadairo D. ⚽, Ruci F. (A),
85', Ismaili U. ↓, Farruku F. ↑,
87', Farruku F. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Dinamo City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Auda is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dinamo City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dinamo City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dinamo City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo City - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo City Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.26	Auda Riga - Dinamo City	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Dinamo City - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:0 ✺
23.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Dinamo City	1:1 ✺
16.07.26	Astana - Dinamo City	1:4 AET ✺
09.07.26	Dinamo City - Astana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWTWL
- Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga
09.08.26	Jelgava - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.26	Auda Riga - Dinamo City	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Auda Riga - FCSB	4:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
26.07.26	Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	FCSB - Auda Riga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.26	Auda Riga - Dinamo City	1:0

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