Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Arena Kombetare (Tirana)

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
World	Onefootball


	Dinamo City		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.75	Watch
	4.33	4	1.63
	3.95	3.7	1.78	Watch
	4.2	3.74	1.8
	3.12	3.45	2.18	Watch
	4.8	3.75	1.65	Watch
	4.15	3.84	1.82	Watch
	4	3.65	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.84)	3.73 ↑ (3.51)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dinamo City
23%

Draw
25.1%

Jagiellonia Białystok
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25.9%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

25.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	24.1%	65.5%

Dinamo City - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Dinamo City will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Dinamo City (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo City (votes: 1 - 10%). Jagiellonia (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Teqja A. (G) 28. Meksi J. 31. Beqja L. 27. Aliji N. (C) 47. Lorran 18. Nani T. 21. Qefalija K. 17. Gassama K. 23. Berisha B. 11. Bregu D. 10. Vila L.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 13. Vital B. 4. Kobayashi Y. 27. Wdowik B. 7. Pozo A. 31. Flach L. 8. Drachal D. 18. Prip L. 10. Pululu A. 11. Imaz J. (C)
Substitutes
45. Aniekan James B. 29. Berisha H. 22. Dita B. 24. Ferruku F. 8. Goudiaby B. 50. Guci R. (G) 2. Ismaili U. 20. Jonuzi F. 14. Maliqi B. 93. Neziri F. 99. Qardaku E. 1. Sali E. (G)	19. Cantero A. 25. Jackson A. 85. Kozlowski E. 86. Mazurek B. 22. Piekutowski M. (G) 80. Pietuszewski O. 5. Polak C. 9. Rallis D. 6. Romanczuk T. 3. Stojinovic D.
Coaches
Daja I.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Bregu D. 🟨,
37', Qefalija K. ↓, Qardaku E. ↑,
40', Drachal D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Beqja L. ↓, Dita B. ↑,
62', Meksi J. ↓, Berisha H. ↑,
62', Vila L. ↓, Maliqi B. ↑,
63', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Bregu D. ⚽,
71', Drachal D. ↓, Romanczuk T. ↑,
72', Pietuszewski O. 🟨,
77', Pululu A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
77', Prip L. ↓, Stojinovic D. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Rallis D. ⚽,
80', Aliji N. 🟨,
80', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
84', Gassama K. ↓, Ferruku F. ↑,
90', Nani T. 🟨,
90', Rallis D. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Arena Kombetare.

Dinamo Tirana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jagiellonia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dinamo Tirana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jagiellonia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dinamo Tirana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo City Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Dinamo City	3:0 ✺
14.08.25	Dinamo City - Hajduk Split	3:1 ET ✺
07.08.25	Hajduk Split - Dinamo City	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Dinamo City - Atlètic Escaldes	1:1 ✺
24.07.25	Atlètic Escaldes - Dinamo City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLTW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Dinamo City	3:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.08.25	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Silkeborg IF	2:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Silkeborg IF - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Dinamo City	3:0

Upcoming Matches