Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Jysk Park (Silkeborg)

Referee: Robinson J. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1


	Silkeborg IF		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.2	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.65	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.2	Watch
	2.13	3.47	3.31
	1.88	3.61	3.84	Watch
				Watch
	2.46	3.54	2.83	Watch
	2.3	3.35	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.28)	3.49 ↑ (3.2)	3.13 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Silkeborg IF
43.2%

Draw
26.8%

Jagiellonia Białystok
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.4%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Silkeborg IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Silkeborg IF than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.5%	19.4%	45.2%

Silkeborg IF - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Silkeborg will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 28.8% – 64.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Silkeborg (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Jagiellonia (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Jagiellonia (2.03) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

TQ, OT - Jagiellonia (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Jagiellonia (1.95) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Silkeborg (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Jagiellonia (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen N. (C) 19. Gammelby J. 3. Ostrom R. 4. Ganchas P. 18. Montano L. 20. Larsen M. 6. Mattsson P. 33. Freundlich M. 10. Bakiz Y. 17. McCowatt C. 23. Adamsen T.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 13. Vital B. 4. Kobayashi Y. 27. Wdowik B. 7. Pozo A. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 8. Drachal D. 11. Imaz J. 10. Pululu A. 18. Prip L.
Substitutes
22. Al Hajj R. 8. Andersen J. 30. Andresen A. (G) 14. Berger S. 41. Boesen O. 15. Bondergaard A. 40. Busch A. 35. Mikkelsen S. 36. Nielsen J. 9. Simmelhack A.	19. Cantero A. 66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 31. Flach L. 25. Jackson A. 86. Mazurek B. 80. Pietuszewski O. 5. Polak C. 9. Rallis D. 3. Stojinovic D. 20. Villar Miki
Coaches
Nielsen K.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Vital B. ⚽, Prip L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Mattsson P. 🟨,
60', Ostrom R. 🟨,
62', Pozo A. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
62', Freundlich M. ↓, Boesen O. ↑,
62', Bakiz Y. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
62', Prip L. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
71', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
73', Pululu A. 🟨,
77', Pululu A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
77', Ostrom R. ↓, Busch A. ↑,
77', McCowatt C. ↓, Simmelhack A. ↑,
86', Drachal D. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
86', Imaz J. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
87', Vital B. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Silkeborg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Jagiellonia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Silkeborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Silkeborg IF - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.8%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Silkeborg IF
Danish Superliga
03.08.25	Randers FC - Silkeborg IF	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	KA Akureyri - Silkeborg IF	2:3 ET ✺
Danish Superliga
27.07.25	Silkeborg IF - Fredericia	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.25	Silkeborg IF - KA Akureyri	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.07.25	Brøndby - Silkeborg IF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLTL
- Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Novi Pazar	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Novi Pazar - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Termalica Nieciecza	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Teplice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL

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