Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)


	Monaco		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.62
	4.5	4.2	1.66
	4.8	4.4	1.65
	4.9	4.45	1.68
	4.91	4.4	1.66	Watch
	4.75	4.2	1.67
	4.88	4.46	1.71
	4.8	4.4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (4.25)	4.34 ↑ (4)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
20.1%

Draw
22.1%

Barcelona
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

24%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

23.7%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	3.8%	90.5%

Monaco - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (140 of 155 users predict this - 90.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.66% – 94.98%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kohn P. (G) 17. Singo W. 5. Kehrer T. 22. Salisu M. 2. Vanderson 15. Camara L. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 11. Akliouche M. 18. Minamino T. 7. Ben Seghir E. 36. Embolo B.	1. ter Stegen M. (C) 23. Kounde J. 2. Cubarsi P. 5. Martinez I. 3. Balde A. 17. Casado M. 24. Garcia E. 19. Yamal L. 8. Pedri 11. Raphinha 9. Lewandowski R.
Substitutes
9. Balogun F. 12. Caio Henrique 27. Diatta K. 10. Golovin A. 21. Ilenikhena G. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 88. Magassa S. 8. Matazo E. 13. Mawissa Elebi C. 20. Ouattara K. 4. Teze J.	26. Astralaga A. (G) 39. Cuenca A. 36. Dominguez S. 10. Fati A. 42. Fernandez A. 41. Fernandez G. 32. Fort H. 35. Martin G. 13. Pena I. (G) 14. Torre P. 7. Torres F. 18. Victor P.
Coaches
Hutter A.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Garcia E. 🟥,
16', 1 - 0, Akliouche M. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Yamal L. ⚽, Casado M. (A),
30', Ben Seghir E. 🟨,
36', Camara L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Camara L. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
59', Embolo B. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
69', Ben Seghir E. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
69', Minamino T. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Ilenikhena G. ⚽, Vanderson (A),
75', Martinez I. 🟨,
79', Flick H. 🟨,
80', Cubarsi P. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
80', Yamal L. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
80', Lewandowski R. ↓, Dominguez S. ↑,
84', Pedri ↓, Torre P. ↑,
85', Balde A. 🟨,
85', Raphinha 🟨,
88', Vanderson ↓, Mawissa Elebi C. ↑,
88', Balde A. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
90+2', Zakaria D. 🟨,
90+6', Balogun F. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams got a triumph in the latest matches.

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
14.09.24	Auxerre - Monaco	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Monaco - Lens	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Lyon - Monaco	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Monaco - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.24	Barcelona - Monaco	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWWW
- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
15.09.24	Girona - Barcelona	1:4 ✺
31.08.24	Barcelona - Valladolid	7:0 ✺
27.08.24	Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	2:1 ✺
17.08.24	Valencia - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.08.24	Barcelona - Monaco	0:3

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