Match Info

League One - Round 17

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nantong Zhiyun		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.60	5.00
	1.50	3.90	5.60	Watch
	1.57	3.95	6.10
	1.67	3.75	4.89	Watch
	1.53	3.85	6.00
	1.57	3.60	5.34	Watch
	1.62	3.60	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)	5.4 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
58.4%

Draw
24.5%

Dingnan United
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

25%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

24.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Nantong Zhiyun - Dingnan United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Li Guanxi (G) 21. Lucas Kal 6. Hu Mingfei (C) 4. Luo Xin 36. Dai Yuanji 26. Deng Yubiao 28. An Yifei 2. Xu Hui 11. Ruan Yang 14. Gonzalez E. 10. Kalulu A.	24. Yang Chen (G) 27. Wang Sihan (C) 4. Daciel 23. Du Junpeng 2. Zhang Yujie 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 8. Zhang Zimin 16. Li Zhi 21. Hu Jiajin 11. Erikys 7. Palacios M.
Substitutes
40. Beshathan Zanhar 23. Dujardin R. 20. Jiang Jiapeng 17. Ling Jie 15. Liu Wei 8. Liu Weicheng 19. Nan Xiaoheng 1. Nie Xuran (G) 5. Shen Chao 27. Wu Xingyu 22. Zhang Jingzhe 3. Zhou Zhiheng	28. Cheng Yetong 1. Du Jia (G) 18. Fan Bojian 22. Gao S. 19. Han Yuchen 34. Hao Yucheng 45. Yang B. 33. Yan Jiahao 3. Zhu Mingxin
Coaches
Kim Dae-Eui	Mao Biao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. (Penalty Awarded),
20', 2 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Kalulu A. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Dai Yuanji (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Du Junpeng ↓, Fan Bojian ↑,
46', Zhang Zimin ↓, Gao S. ↑,
46', Li Zhi ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
47', 4 - 0, Hu Mingfei ⚽,
55', 4 - 1, Erikys ⚽,
60', Hu Jiajin ↓, Cheng Yetong ↑,
66', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Zhu Mingxin ↑,
70', Ruan Yang ↓, Ling Jie ↑,
70', Gonzalez E. ↓, Beshathan Zanhar ↑,
76', Xu Hui ↓, Zhang Jingzhe ↑,
87', Hu Mingfei ↓, Shen Chao ↑,
87', An Yifei ↓, Liu Weicheng ↑,
90+4', 5 - 1, Kalulu A. ⚽, Beshathan Zanhar (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 10).

Recent performances by Nantong Zhiyun have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dingnan United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nantong Zhiyun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nantong Zhiyun is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nantong Zhiyun won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nantong Zhiyun won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nantong Zhiyun	25	12	9	4	34:20	14	45
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
25.07.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Foshan Nanshi - Nantong Zhiyun	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Meizhou Hakka	1:3 ✺
14.06.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTLW
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
26.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Dingnan United	4:4 ✺
18.07.26	Dingnan United - Ningbo Professional	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Dingnan United	3:3 ✺
04.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Dingnan United	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Dingnan United - Wuxi Wugou	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
21.03.26	Dingnan United - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1
12.10.25	Dingnan United - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1
01.06.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Dingnan United	1:1

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