Match Info

League One - Round 19

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nanjing City		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.00	3.60
	2	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.13	3.53	3.36
	1.96	3.35	3.81	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.15
	2.05	3.24	3.29	Watch
	2.04	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	3.41 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
45.1%

Draw
28%

Dingnan United
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Yang Chao (G) 22. Meng Zhen 4. Zhao Chengle 15. Tayir Shewketjan 20. Liu Le 14. Qurban W. 8. Yang Dejiang 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 16. Yang He (C) 25. Bruno Baio 10. Ngom Mbekeli J.	1. Du Jia (G) 27. Wang Sihan 16. Li Zhi 4. Daciel 21. Hu Jiajin 22. Gao S. 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 2. Zhang Yujie 7. Palacios M. 11. Erikys 18. Fan Bojian (C)
Substitutes
17. An Bang 29. Fu Shang 28. Han Q. 23. Hu Jinghang 11. Hu Rentian 2. Wang Xijie 30. Wei Minghe 5. Wong W. 33. Xiang Rongjun 21. Xi Anjie (G) 6. Zhou Y. 31. Zhu Qiwen	28. Cheng Yetong 17. Chen Po-Liang 23. Du Junpeng 19. Han Yuchen 34. Hao Yucheng 9. Ma Chenghao 10. Tang Shi 31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 8. Zhang Zimin 3. Zhu Mingxin
Coaches
Zhang X.	Mao Biao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Erikys ⚽, Palacios M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zhao Chengle ↓, Wang Xijie ↑,
46', Yang He ↓, Hu Jinghang ↑,
49', Hu Jiajin 🟨,
49', Bruno Baio 🟨,
55', Li Zhi 🟨,
61', Meng Zhen 🟨,
64', Meng Zhen ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
64', Zhai Zhaoyu ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
66', Hu Jiajin ↓, Tang Shi ↑,
70', Fan Bojian ↓, Ma Chenghao ↑,
70', Li Zhi ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
79', Bruno Baio ↓, Wong W. ↑,
82', Gao S. ↓, Chen Po-Liang ↑,
82', Zhu Jiaxuan ↓, Du Junpeng ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Ngom Mbekeli J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

Nanjing City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dingnan United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nanjing City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nanjing City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24
15	Nanjing City	25	5	6	14	21:37	-16	21

Last Results with these Odds

Nanjing City - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
08.08.26	Nanjing City - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Nanjing City - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Dalian Kun City - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLLL
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
08.08.26	Dingnan United - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Dingnan United	5:1 ✺
26.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Dingnan United	4:4 ✺
18.07.26	Dingnan United - Ningbo Professional	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Dingnan United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
12.04.26	Dingnan United - Nanjing City	1:1
19.10.25	Nanjing City - Dingnan United	2:0
15.06.25	Dingnan United - Nanjing City	2:1

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