Match Info

League One - Round 17

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Changchun Yatai		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.10	3.50
	1.74	3.35	4.40	Watch
	2.14	3.20	3.78
	2	3.3	3.77	Watch
	1.99	3.05	3.70
	1.93	3.08	3.87	Watch
	1.99	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.5)	3.18 ↓ (3.85)	3.8 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
46.8%

Draw
28.9%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.6%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

22.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shijiazhuang Gongfu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Yatai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Changchun Yatai - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 35. Jiang Zilei 4. Wang Weipu 14. JIng Boxi 20. Fan Houtai 25. Chen Xuhuang 6. Li Qiang 37. Zhou Dadi 29. Tan Long (C) 9. Omoijuanfo O. 7. Salazar J.	19. Li Ya'nan (G) 12. Song Haoyu 36. Yang Yun (C) 27. Hakimhan Ernar 18. Zheng Zhiyun 28. Zhang Yudong 8. Du Zhixuan 5. Niu Ziyi 10. Vidal H. 7. Conraad T. 31. Dominic Vinicius
Substitutes
22. Benhaddouche C. 2. Chen Guoliang 3. Du Kaile 44. Fan Chao 21. He Xin 5. Ling Chuanbin 26. Lu Yiming 17. Muhamet 38. Sun Xipeng 32. Tian Ziyi 16. Tudi Dilyimit 23. Wu Yake (G)	38. Chen Hao-Wei 9. Guo Lingzi 39. Liu B. 13. Li Xuebo (G) 33. Li Y. (G) 26. Ma Junliang 4. Pan Kui 29. Shan P. 17. Sun Weizhe 15. Zhao C. 6. Zhao Shuhao 30. Zhou Wenhao
Coaches
Yan Feng	Tato J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Conraad T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Chen Xuhuang ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
46', JIng Boxi ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Tan Long ⚽, Omoijuanfo O. (A),
64', 1 - 2, Dominic Vinicius ⚽, Yang Yun (A),
67', Conraad T. ↓, Ma Junliang ↑,
67', Du Zhixuan ↓, Pan Kui ↑,
74', Zheng Zhiyun ↓, Zhao Shuhao ↑,
74', Yang Yun ↓, Shan P. ↑,
77', Zhang Yudong 🟨,
77', Wang Weipu ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
79', Vidal H. ↓, Liu B. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Salazar J. ⚽, Sun Xipeng (A),
85', Jiang Zilei ↓, Chen Guoliang ↑,
90+2', Tan Long ↓, Fan Chao ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Changchun Yatai has had a series of home games.

In this match, Changchun Yatai is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Yatai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	25	9	7	9	23:25	-2	34
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
25.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Wuxi Wugou	1:5 ✺
05.07.26	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
25.07.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Ningbo Professional - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
21.03.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Changchun Yatai	1:0

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